Auction Modelling

Auction schemes serve as a competitive and market-oriented mechanism for determining subsidies and grant levels. For example, grant levels for electricity generated from renewable energy technologies, combined heat and power units or hydrogen is increasingly determined by technology-specific auctions. The shift from fixed remuneration to subsidy rates determined through tenders aims to bring climate-neutral and efficient technologies closer to the market. In order to determine subsidy levels in a competitive and market-oriented way, auction schemes represent also an option for the acquisition of secured generation capacity or the decom-missioning of emission-intensive technologies like coal.

Market participants aiming to gain access to these subsidies must participate in the tenders. The tenders, which are predominantly designed as pay-as-bid auctions, offer opportunities for economic optimisation. Developing a robust market assessment prior to a participation is essential to exploit any optimisation potential at hand. This in turn requires a thorough analysis of opportunities and risks of the auction round. In-depth market information and a well-founded assessment of the competitive position represent a competitive advantage.

enervis is one of the leading consultancies in regard to the modelling of energy industry auctions and the development of individual bidding strategies. In order to support our clients on all tender-related questions, enervis has developed technology-specific auction models for different auctions schemes, which enables us to provide a model-based outlook on the upcoming auction rounds and to forecast possible auctions results. Using a Monte Carlo approach, we quantify existing uncertainties and provide a well-founded assessment of a promising bid from a risk-reward perspective.

Our models for auction modelling at a glance:

For further information and queries, please do not hesitate to contact us.

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