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European Power Market Outlook until 2060. Long term market study.
European power markets are heading towards a phase of radical transition: ageing power plant fleets, national climate measures, e-mobility and storage technologies in combination with pluging costs of renewable energies will bring fundamental change. Utilities, investors, project developer, IPP‘s and large-scale industrial consumers need to have a clear unterstanding of value drivers in power markets.
This study explores possible and consistent developments in major European markets and provides a basis for evaluating existing and future investments. Our clients benefit from bankable projections of power prices, capture prices of renewables, spreads and generation technology mix on a country level
enervis Market Power [eMP]
enervis Market Power [eMP] is a Europe-wide model that integrates the interactions of entso-e markets via interconnectors. Each market region is modelled to a high and detailed resolution that incorporates up-to-date information on unit-wise power plant fleets, renewable installations, hourly demand, weather data and country-specific assumptions (e.g. market design, policy framework, transport cost of commodities, renewable expansion targets and support mechanisms). Hence the model incorporates all relevant market drivers and provides a comprehensive view on future developments of market price zones as well as regions. eMP models RES capacities differentiated by their support status and age and readjusts the corresponding bidding strategy accordingly over time. eMP gives you the edge in efficiently evaluating investments and strategies in a dynamic and ever-changing market. Market mechanisms, trends and market drivers can be identified and their influence on markets and prices analysed.
SCENARIOS & RESULTS
- enervis‘ European Power Market Outlook provides you with either a best guess scenario or three consistent and plausible scenarios (Current Efforts, High Ambition, Delayed Transition) of how European power markets could evolve up to 2060
- Results are presented by country on an annual basis.
- Optional: Guarantee of Origin
- Optional: Hourly timeseries for Day-Ahead prices and capture prices for renewables
- Monte Carlo analysis, aggregated generation curves or Intra-Day indicators upon request
- Model-based commissioning of conventional and renewable technologies for a realistic and consistent outlook on capture prices of existing and future assets
- Up to quarterly updates, subscription service available
- Support: Incl. personal Q&A with our experts
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