Model Results of the CHP Tendering Procedure – enervis CHP Reference Study

The tenders under the CHP Act are entering the next round. For both conventional CHP plants and innovative CHP systems, the subsidy rates are determined every six months in the “pay as bid” procedure. Market players who want to secure an award are currently faced with the task of defining a bidding strategy for the coming bidding round. In the previous rounds, high bids were possible in some cases, even at the maximum rate. However, time and again individual plants went “empty”. How high can one’s own bid be set for the next round?

Experience shows that timely and thorough preparation pays off. A precise analysis in advance helps to better assess the competition and increases the chances of achieving lucrative subsidy rates. The reference study supports you in determining an individual bidding strategy by providing a concrete and quantitative forecast of the possible auction results of the upcoming bidding round.


Part A: Model-based outlook for the upcoming tender round

  • Overview of the current competitive situation – Information on the
    project pipeline of CHP plants
  • Modelling of the auction with the proven enervis CHP Act auction model for scenarios with different levels of competition
  • Central results: Average marginal surcharges for the scenarios considered
  • Risk assessment: Analysis of possible fluctuation margins of the marginal surcharges by means of Monte Carlo simulation

Part B: Derivation of individual bid strategies

  • Determination of a bidding strategy based on the project-specific
    plant performance and project costs
  • Optimisation of your bid strategy for the bidding round based on your individual
    based on your individual risk appetite
  • Analysis of opportunities and risks of different bid strategies

Part C: In-house workshop / online seminar on strategy discussion

  • Discussion of the framework conditions for CHP tenders (conventional and innovative CHP)
  • Discussion of possible strategies in the tenders



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Dr. Tim Höfer
Fon +49 (0)30 695175-0

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